Australia's central bank has increased its cash rate by 25 basis points, bringing it to 4.1%, a level last seen in April of the previous year. According to Ming Pao, the decision was passed by a narrow margin of 5 to 4 votes within the monetary policy committee. The division among committee members was not about the direction of the rate adjustment but rather the timing of the increase.
The central bank's governor, Bullock, noted the ongoing hawkish stance of the bank, which has led the market to significantly reprice future policy paths for central banks, including Australia's, over the past few weeks. Expectations are that there is room for more than 60 basis points of rate hikes by the end of the year, including the recent meeting.
A research team, including the article's author, anticipates that the central bank will continue to implement preemptive tightening measures. It is expected that another rate hike could occur in May, potentially raising the cash rate to 4.35%, as a flexible approach to managing inflation and excess demand.