Predict.fun has introduced a new prediction event titled 'When Will Polymarket Launch Its Official Token?' According to Odaily, the current trading volume for this event has reached $546,800. The probability of Polymarket launching its official token by June 30, 2027, is currently reported at 88%. The likelihood of a launch by March 31, 2027, stands at 77%, by December 31, 2026, at 55%, by September 30, 2026, at 39%, and by June 30, 2026, at 9%.
The settlement rules for this event specify that if Polymarket officially launches its token by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on the specified date, the market will be determined as 'Yes.' Otherwise, it will be 'No.'
Even if the token initially lacks utility or is not explicitly labeled as a 'governance' token, it will qualify as long as it is promoted and presented as Polymarket's official token. The token must be publicly transferable and tradable; mere announcements or tokens available only for claiming do not meet the criteria.
Tokens representing CTF shares or other positions within the product market, such as ERC-1155 or ERC-20 tokens, and any collateral tokens pegged to the U.S. dollar, are excluded from settlement.
Official statements from Polymarket, including blog posts, social media channels, or documents, will serve as sources. If necessary, credible third-party reports may also be referenced.
Previously, Polymarket team member Mustafa (@mustafap0ly) hinted at potential progress regarding the POLY token during a community interaction.