Fed Policy Uncertainty Heightened by Data Fog, Officials Cautious on Rate Cuts

According to BlockBeats, the uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policy has intensified due to concerns about inflation persistence among several Fed officials, who remain cautious about further rate cuts. This has kept U.S. Treasury yields within a relatively narrow range as traders await new catalysts to alter market pricing. Michael Lorizio, Head of U.S. Rates and Mortgage Trading at Manulife Investment Management, noted the prolonged absence of top-tier economic data guidance, making it challenging to form a confident assessment of the current state of the U.S. economy before new data emerges. The upcoming release of the Federal Reserve's October meeting minutes may provide further insight into how many policymakers might oppose a rate cut in December. "When there seemed to be many differing opinions previously, obtaining summary information through the meeting minutes today may help further shape market expectations for the December meeting," Lorizio stated.