Polymarket's probability of crude oil reaching $90 by the end of March has risen to 82%, a 67% increase on the day.

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, the probability of Polymarket's prediction that "crude oil (CL) will reach $90 by the end of March" has risen to 82%, a 67% increase within the day; meanwhile, the probability of "crude oil reaching $100 by the end of March" has fallen to 36%, a 52% decrease within the day. In the background, Trump stated that Iran has agreed not to develop nuclear weapons and that the Strait of Hormuz may be jointly controlled by multiple parties; if such an agreement is reached, oil prices may fluctuate significantly. Meanwhile, uncertainty remains in the Middle East, leading to a clear divergence in market expectations for short-term oil price ranges. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, anticipating changes before pricing.