Polymarket has added a new article titled "When Will the Trump Administration End the Criminal Investigation into Powell?", with a preliminary probability of termination before June at 56%.

Odaily Seer's monitoring shows that Polymarket has added a new prediction market event: "When will the Trump administration terminate the criminal investigation into Powell?" The probability of termination before April 30th is currently reported at 39%, and the probability of termination before June 30th is currently reported at 56%. This market primarily bases its settlement on official information from the US federal government or widely credible media reports. If the investigation is clearly terminated before the corresponding time and has not entered the stage of indictment or prosecution, it is judged as "yes"; otherwise, it is judged as "no". This investigation stems from Powell's testimony to Congress in June 2025 regarding the renovation of the Federal Reserve headquarters. Current President Trump has previously stated in interviews that there are no immediate plans to advance the investigation and emphasized the independence of the Federal Reserve, adding that his team members also support Powell completing his term. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before they are priced in.