The Iranian parliament speaker responded strongly to the threat of a US invasion; Polymarket estimates a 63% probability of US ground troops entering Iran by the end of April.

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, Polymarket currently rates the probability of US ground troops entering Iran by the end of this month at 16%, and the probability by the end of April at 63%. On March 27, Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf stated regarding the potential threat of ground invasion that the US cannot protect its soldiers at bases in the region, and it is impossible for the US to protect these soldiers on Iranian territory. Previously, Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi posted on social media accusing the US military of using civilians from Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) member states as human shields and calling on hotels in these countries to refuse US military bookings. Earlier, informed US Department of Defense officials revealed that the Pentagon is considering sending up to 10,000 additional ground troops to the Middle East, joining the approximately 5,000 Marines and thousands of paratroopers from the 82nd Airborne Division already deployed to the region. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing them in.