Crypto analyst Murphy, writing on the X platform, stated that short-term Bitcoin trading is currently extremely difficult. For most investors, a more viable strategy over the next six months would be dollar-cost averaging (DCA), with a near 100% success rate. He emphasized the importance of strictly distinguishing between investing and trading, noting that he only made four trades in the past two months: three profitable and one losing. His most recent trade involved establishing positions at $71,500 and $73,000, with an average cost of $72,300, using 5x leverage. He exited the position after hitting his stop-loss order during market volatility. Therefore, avoiding holding losing positions and relying on luck is crucial, as it can easily lead to a pattern of small profits followed by large losses. Decisions should be based on long-term trends, and short-term trading requires strict discipline. The core of analysis should be serving the trading process, not emotional speculation.