Polymarket's probability that "WTI crude oil will rise to $110 in April 2026" has risen to 67%, a 20% increase in the last 24 hours.

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, the probability of Polymarket's prediction that "WTI crude oil will rise to $110 in April 2026" has increased significantly, now reaching 67%, a 13% increase in 1 hour and a 20% increase in 24 hours. As of now, the total trading volume of Polymarket's "WTI crude oil April 2026 price" event contract has exceeded $24 million. The rules for this event contract are: if the "highest price" of any 1-minute candlestick chart for the active month of WTI crude oil futures during April 2026 is equal to or higher than the listing price, the market will determine it as "yes"; otherwise, the market will determine it as "no." Previously, the rules for the WTI crude oil March price prediction event contract were: if the official settlement price of the current active month (near-month) of the CME crude oil futures contract on any trading day is equal to or higher than the listing price up to the last trading day of March 2026, the market will determine it as "yes"; otherwise, the market will determine it as "no." Trump tweeted today: "Effective immediately, the U.S. Navy, the most powerful navy in the world, will begin a blockade of any ship attempting to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz. I also order the U.S. Navy to search for and intercept every ship in international waters that has paid 'transit fees' to Iran. Anyone who has paid such illegal transit fees will not be allowed safe passage on the high seas, and we will begin destroying the mines Iran has laid in the Strait. Any Iranian that dares to fire on peaceful vessels will be blown to bits! Iran knows better than anyone how to end the war that has destroyed their country. Their navy is gone, their air force is gone, their air defenses and radar systems are useless, Khamenei and most of their leaders are dead—all because of their ambition for nuclear weapons. The blockade is about to begin, and other countries will join in. We will not allow Iran to profit from this illegal extortion. They want money, but more importantly, they want nuclear weapons." Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.