Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Ghalibaf announced early on the 21st local time that US President Trump, through imposing blockades and violating the ceasefire agreement, is attempting to turn the negotiating table into a surrender table for Iran, or to find an excuse to provoke another war. Currently, the US is frequently announcing plans to send a delegation to the negotiations, while Iran has stated its refusal to negotiate. Analysts point out that Iran's statements reflect multiple considerations and concerns: First, Iran questions the US's sincerity in negotiations. Iran once announced a conditional temporary opening of the Strait of Hormuz, but this did not result in the US lifting its blockade of Iranian ports. Second, it's a negotiation tactic. "Refusing to negotiate" is often a significant bargaining chip outside the negotiating table. If Iran shows an eagerness to negotiate, the US is likely to exert further pressure. In the absence of basic trust, both sides will engage in a series of probing maneuvers before negotiations, testing each other's bottom lines. Third, there are strong voices and anti-American sentiment within Iran. Hardliners believe that Iran's premature statement of returning to the negotiating table under continued US pressure is a sign of compromise and concession. Currently, the US and Iran have disagreements on multiple issues, including the nuclear issue, passage through the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions against Iran. There is a serious lack of mutual trust between the two sides, and a significant gap exists between their expectations for achieving these goals through negotiations. Analysis indicates that the current situation may unfold in several ways: First, both sides may return to the negotiating table within the ceasefire period, or reach a consensus to extend the ceasefire and continue negotiations. However, the likelihood of reaching a comprehensive and long-term agreement in the short term is low, and negotiations could break down again at any time due to a hardline statement or action from one side. Second, the two sides may descend into a "limited-scale conflict." After the ceasefire expires, the military standoff and harassment between the US and Iran around the Strait of Hormuz will continue, and hostilities may reignite. Third, the conflict could escalate on a large scale and spiral out of control. The US has recently continued to issue military threats against Iran, but US analysts believe that due to rising war costs and increased electoral political pressure, the Trump administration has relatively limited decision-making space for a large-scale escalation of the conflict. (CCTV)