According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, in Polymarket's prediction event that the US would invade Iran before 2027, a high-win-rate account (ID: Car, address: 0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b) with profits exceeding $1.25 million currently holds approximately $34,000 in "No" positions, with an average opening price of 66.8¢. According to the market rules, the standard for determining an "invasion" is: the US launching a military offensive aimed at establishing control over any Iranian territory before 23:59 (ET) on December 31, 2026. If no such military action occurs, the market will settle for "No." The rules specifically emphasize that the territorial scope is based on the actual control situation as of November 4, 2025. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.