Many crosscurrents that influence price, such as U.S. monetary policy expectations and excess supply, may be responsible for the weak correlation between election odds and BTC price.
JinseFinanceKamala Harris leads Trump in Polymarket odds after Biden's exit, but market dynamics may overstate her advantage.
SanyaPolymarket’s recent success is almost entirely a result of the election.
JinseFinanceKamala Harris and Donald Trump tied at 49% in Polymarket's $541M presidential betting pool.
ZeZhengU.S. lawmakers have called for a ban on election betting, citing concerns over its impact on democracy. Polymarket, a popular platform for such bets, has seen record trading volumes but faces financial challenges.
SanyaTrump's odds of winning the presidential race have dropped to 54%, while Kamala Harris’s chances have risen to 43%. This shift is influenced by speculation about Harris's potential crypto stance and Trump's pro-crypto promises.
ZeZhengKamala Harris’s betting odds have increased to 45% on Polymarket following Donald Trump’s NABJ panel appearance. While recent polls and Trump’s performance have impacted the market, Trump remains the favourite, though his lead has diminished.
EdmundPolymarket breaks trading records with $116.4 million in July, driven by U.S. election bets. Nate Silver's advisory role aims to enhance prediction accuracy amid growing market influence.
HafizAs the expectations of $ETH ETF passing heat up, the market’s attention is gradually returning to the EVM ecosystem. As the largest prediction market on the chain, Polymarket has attracted much attention because of whether $ETH ETF can pass smoothly.
JinseFinancePolymarket prediction markets indicate Trump leads 2024 U.S. Presidential Election odds, reflecting dynamic public sentiment and financial speculation in the evolving landscape of political forecasting.
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