The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 86.4%.

According to CME's "Fed Watch": the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 86.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 13.6%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by June is 33.6%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 58.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 8.3%.