Bitcoin (BTC) risks a deeper pullback as technical breakdowns and whale activity align with bearish reversal patterns.Bitcoin has corrected nearly 8% from its all-time high above $124,500 set just four days ago, now trading at around $114,969. Analysts warn the flagship cryptocurrency may face further downside pressure after confirming a rising wedge breakdown on the daily chart.Technical Breakdown Points to $88K–$94KCrypto analyst Captain Faibik noted that Bitcoin has broken below the wedge’s support line, a classic bearish reversal pattern often preceding sharp declines.Immediate support: $110,000–$112,000Next zone: $105,000–$108,000Psychological level: $98,000–$100,000Full wedge breakdown target: As low as $88,000Losing the $110,000 range could accelerate selling pressure, pushing BTC toward deeper support levels by September.Double-Top Scenario Echoes 2021On the weekly chart, analysts at Swissblock flagged a potential double-top formation, similar to the 2021 cycle that triggered a 77% drawdown.Key level: $94,750 (50-day EMA support)Upside invalidation: Holding above the 50-day EMA and rebounding toward $125,000Failure to reclaim the upper wedge trendline may cement the bearish case, raising the likelihood of a deeper retracement.Whale Activity Adds Selling PressureOn-chain data from Glassnode shows significant whale distribution:Mega whale addresses (10,000+ BTC) have fallen to their lowest in 2025.1,000–10,000 BTC wallets are also declining, reflecting profit-taking.This sustained selling from top holders aligns with weakening technicals, adding weight to bearish targets.Macro Outlook: Fed Rate Cut May Offer ReliefUnlike 2021, when the Fed began tightening, this cycle could benefit from monetary easing. CME FedWatch data suggests a 25-basis-point cut in September, potentially boosting liquidity and offsetting near-term weakness.Some analysts still forecast BTC could reach $132,000–$170,000 in the coming months, provided liquidity conditions support risk assets, according to Cointelegraph.Key TakeawayBitcoin’s technical breakdown and whale-driven selling hint at potential downside toward $88K–$94K. However, a Fed rate cut and expanding money supply could sustain BTC’s long-term bullish trajectory, despite short-term volatility.
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