CME FedWatch: 75% Chance of Fed Rate Cut in September

Key Takeaways:CME’s FedWatch tool signals a 75% probability of a 25 bps rate cut in September.Only a 25% chance remains for rates to stay unchanged.Markets are increasingly pricing in Powell’s dovish pivot after Jackson Hole.Markets Price in September CutAccording to ChainCatcher, CME’s FedWatch shows traders now assign a 75% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points at its September meeting. The probability of holding rates steady is down to 25%, reflecting rising confidence in a monetary easing cycle.This shift follows Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s dovish remarks at the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Annual Meeting, where he emphasized employment risks outweighing inflation concerns.