According to Cointelegraph, crypto analyst PlanC wrote on the X platform that anyone who believes Bitcoin will peak in the fourth quarter of this year doesn't understand statistics or probability. From a statistical and probabilistic perspective, this is like flipping a coin and getting tails three times in a row, then betting everything on the fourth halving. However, relying on the first three halving cycles doesn't provide statistically significant data. Today, with the rise of Bitcoin treasuries and the influx of funds into US spot Bitcoin ETFs, the halving cycle is no longer relevant to Bitcoin. Beyond psychological, self-fulfilling prophecies, there's no fundamental reason to explain Bitcoin's peak in the fourth quarter of 2025.