According to BlockBeats, U.S. Treasury prices have been on the rise in recent days, leading to a decline in bond yields. John Silvia, CEO of Dynamic Economic Strategy, has expressed concerns that this upward trend may have gone too far. Silvia analyzed that the combination of "expansionary fiscal policy and accommodative monetary policy," along with persistent inflationary pressures, suggests that U.S. Treasury valuations are currently inflated.
Silvia is particularly focused on the five-year Treasury yield, which is currently around 3.6%, slightly below the University of Michigan's latest survey indicating a 3.7% five-year inflation expectation. He noted that this comparison implies that "even without accounting for tax factors, the real return rate is negative."