How far are we from Bitcoin reaching $250,000?

Written by: Alertforalpha Compiled by: Vernacular Blockchain

Bitcoin at $250,000 - sounds crazy, right?

But some staunch bulls have put forward this figure, and they have the chart to back it up. Here's why it's more than just fantasy.

1. M2 Money Surge - Liquidity Tsunami

The global M2 money supply is surging and will not stop in the short term. According to Real Vision analysis, the global liquidity tide will continue until 2026. This means that the four-year cycle may be broken. Don't expect to peak on time in October this year. If the funds continue to flow, BTC may reach $250,000 by next spring.

2. High Yield Bonds – No Panic, No Problem

Bitcoin bull Tom Lee points out that the high yield bond market – a bellwether for financial crises – is not panicking. Government bonds are a bit volatile, but high yield bonds are calm. This is not a sign of a crash. If the bond market isn’t panicking, you shouldn’t panic either.

3. V-Shaped Recovery Probability – History Is on the Bulls’ Side

Interestingly, 17 of the 18 major declines since 1950 have resulted in a quick V-shaped recovery, a 94% success rate. If you think the market will just crash, you’re fighting history.

4. Business Cycle Bottom – We’re at the Trough

Markets peak at business cycle tops, not at bottoms. Right now we’re still in the “nasty, scary” part of the cycle. That’s good for bulls. Once the cycle turns, the bull market is here.

5. Technical Model Points Higher

Technical analysis also supports gains:

• Power Law Chart: Baseline $150K by end of 2025, $250K by 2028.

• Pi Cycle Top: Currently around $160K, but continued gains could reach $250K.

• Golden Ratio Multiplier: $160,000 conservatively estimated, $250,000 with a little stretch.

• Fibonacci Expansion: $215,000 to $250,000 if history repeats itself.

6. Institutions Still Hoarding Coins

Don’t forget the big guys. Institutions like BlackRock, Fidelity, and MicroStrategy are still buying Bitcoin in large quantities. There are even rumors that the U.S. government is considering including BTC in its strategic reserves. You don’t want to get on the train when it’s moving.

7. Adjust your mindset — this is a long game

Yes, there will be “sharp, nasty pullbacks” along the way. You’ll think it’s all over — and then the price will skyrocket. There will be countless newbies getting liquidated on the road to $250,000. Don’t be one of them.

Summary – Hang in there

Bottom line? Ignore the noise, ignore the bears, and stay focused. If you’re a long-term player, $250,000 Bitcoin is not only possible – it’s here.