Odaily星球日报讯 据 Onchain Lens 监测，大型机构交易商 Cumberland DRW 于 2 小时前质押了 48,182 枚 SOL，价值约 572 万美元。 Cumberland DRW 是加密货币市场的主要做市商和流动性提供者，其资金动向常被视为机构投资趋势的重要指标。

Odaily星球日报讯 3 月 11 日消息，ARK Invest 创始人 Cathie Wood 表示，当前市场正在消化滚动式衰退的最后阶段，这将给予特朗普政府和美联储比投资者预期更多的政策调整空间，从而可能在今年下半年推动美国经济进入“通缩式繁荣”。Cathie Wood 认为，美联储的货币政策将更加灵活，市场或低估了这一潜在的经济反弹动力。 滚动式衰退是指一种经济现象，其中不同行业和部门轮流经历衰退，而整体经济和就业市场保持相对稳定。

Odaily星球日报讯 据官方消息，Arbitrum 研发团队 Offchain Labs 宣布启动战略回购计划，在公开市场和其他交易方式增持 ARB，以加强对 Arbitrum 生态的长期承诺。该计划将根据预设的参数分步实施。

Odaily星球日报讯 据 Bravos Research 分析，当前加密货币市场正经历自 2022 年 5 月 LUNA 崩盘以来最大规模的山寨币清算。市场已发生约 100 亿美元的清算，规模远超 FTX 崩溃后的情况。 数据显示，比特币主导地位持续上升，表明短期内并无明显的山寨币季节信号。分析认为，零售投资者热情尚未完全恢复，真正的山寨币季节可能仍在前方。

Bitcoin’s price is under renewed pressure, nearing four-month lows as Wall Street stocks tumble and macroeconomic uncertainty intensifies. With BTC struggling to hold $80,000 support, traders are looking at RSI signals for potential bottoming. Bitcoin Faces Renewed Selling Pressure Below $80KBitcoin (BTC) dropped 4% on March 10, trading at $79,170 on Bitstamp, as market-wide risk aversion weighed on crypto and equities alike.The S&P 500 fell 2%, while the Nasdaq Composite plunged 3.5% at the Wall Street open.The sell-off follows government spending cutbacks from the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which analysts believe could slow economic growth.The Kobeissi Letter noted that crypto markets have erased $1 trillion in market cap over the past two months, wiping out gains from the U.S. Strategic Crypto Reserve announcement.Traders Watch RSI for Bitcoin’s Next MoveMarket analysts are now watching Bitcoin’s relative strength index (RSI) for signs of a potential price reversal.Rekt Capital highlighted that previous BTC rebounds occurred when the daily RSI dipped below 28, signaling oversold conditions.Currently, Bitcoin’s RSI stands at 33.2, suggesting further downside before a potential bounce.What to watch:If Bitcoin forms lower lows while RSI makes higher lows, a bullish divergence could signal a price bottom.Historical data suggests BTC tends to bottom or fall an additional 2–8% from current RSI levels before rebounding.Bybit Hack Adding to Crypto Selling PressureAnother major factor driving Bitcoin’s decline is the ongoing fallout from last month’s Bybit hack.QCP Capital reported that hackers have started selling off stolen assets, adding downward pressure on crypto markets.Investors are front-running further potential sell-offs, exacerbating the decline.Risk reversals in options markets show increased demand for protective puts, signaling bearish sentiment.Macroeconomic Data Could Trigger More VolatilityWith BTC closely tracking equities and macroeconomic risks, upcoming U.S. inflation data (CPI on Wednesday and PPI on Thursday) could increase volatility.Tariff concerns, economic slowdown fears, and tightening liquidity continue to weigh on Bitcoin’s near-term outlook.Q3 2025 could mark a turning point, with expectations of renewed institutional inflows and potential bullish narratives emerging.Final Thoughts: Can Bitcoin Rebound from $78K?Key Risks:Wall Street sell-off and slowing economic growthBybit hacker-driven sell pressureWeak investor sentiment and cautious institutional flowsBullish Signals to Watch:RSI bullish divergence (Bitcoin bottoming pattern)Stronger-than-expected demand at $78K supportU.S. economic data influencing Fed policy, potentially boosting risk assetsBitcoin traders remain cautious but watchful, as a break below $78K could lead to further downside, potentially toward $75K–$72K, while a strong bounce from RSI signals could trigger a relief rally, according to Cointelegraph.

Mt. Gox pushed back its repayment deadline to October 2025 and still holds $2.8 billion worth of bitcoin, according to Arkham. source: https://www.theblock.co/post/345589/mt-gox-moves-905-million-worth-of-bitcoin-to-unmarked-wallet-address-arkham?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

Ethereum (ETH) has struggled to recover after dropping below $2,600 on Feb. 24, facing strong resistance amid weak network activity, rising competition, and declining institutional demand. To regain bullish momentum, four critical factors must be addressed.1. Network Upgrades & Layer-2 InteroperabilityWhile the upcoming Pectra upgrade aims to enhance Ethereum’s efficiency, it lacks immediate solutions for high base-layer transaction fees and cross-chain liquidity issues.Key Concern: Layer-2 fragmentation hinders seamless transactions across networks like Arbitrum, Optimism, and Base.Competitive Pressure: Berachain and Hyperliquid have gained traction, with over $3B and $2.8B in TVL, respectively, threatening Ethereum’s dominance in DeFi and perpetual futures markets.What Needs to Happen?Faster and more scalable L2 solutions with unified liquidity to improve Ethereum’s usability.Seamless integration of DeFi projects across multiple networks.2. Increasing Institutional DemandEthereum spot ETFs have seen nine out of ten days of net outflows, totaling $406M in withdrawals.The lack of staking incentives for ETF investors makes ETH less attractive compared to 4.5% stablecoin yields in DeFi.The SEC’s potential approval of a Solana (SOL) ETF in 2025 could shift investor focus away from ETH.What Needs to Happen?Spot ETH ETFs must integrate native staking to attract institutional capital.Ethereum must demonstrate stronger real-world utility to stand out against competitors.3. Declining Supply & Fee Burn MechanismEthereum’s supply is increasing at a rate of 0.7% per year, due to reduced network activity and lower gas fees, weakening ETH’s deflationary model.The EIP-1559 burn mechanism has not been effective in reducing ETH’s circulating supply.The staking reward yield has dropped below 2.5%, making Ethereum less attractive to investors.What Needs to Happen?A surge in network usage to revive fee burns and reinforce Ethereum’s deflationary status.Higher staking yields to improve ETH’s appeal over stablecoin lending options.4. Restoring DeFi & On-Chain ActivityEthereum’s DeFi ecosystem has struggled to maintain TVL growth, with user activity shifting to alternative blockchains like Solana and Berachain.The memecoin boom on Solana highlighted Ethereum’s scalability limitations.Total DeFi TVL dropped by $45B, erasing gains since Trump’s election.What Needs to Happen?New use cases and innovative dApps must emerge to drive user adoption back to Ethereum.Improvements in gas efficiency are needed to make Ethereum competitive with faster L1s like Solana.Final Thoughts: Can Ethereum Regain $2,600?Ethereum’s recovery depends on:- Scalable network upgrades & seamless L2 interoperability- Institutional capital inflows through ETF staking incentives- Higher on-chain activity to reduce ETH supply & increase fees burned- Stronger demand for DeFi, gaming, and tokenization applicationsWithout addressing these structural issues, ETH could continue to underperform, losing market share to faster, lower-cost blockchain competitors, according to Cointelegraph.

Odaily星球日报讯 据 Lookonchain 数据，一位大型投资者在约 10 小时前花费 3080 万 DAI 购买了 15,292 枚 ETH，买入均价为 2,014 美元，总投入约 2860 万美元。 随着 ETH 价格下跌，该投资者目前已经承受约 220 万美元的账面亏损。

Bitcoin has dropped to $78,500, a four-month low, while Ethereum hits its weakest level since November 2023. Some predict BTC could fall to $70,000, while others see rising M2 liquidity as a recovery signal. With macroeconomic headwinds and no clear bullish catalysts, is Bitcoin bottoming out or headed for further losses?

Key Takeaways:Ethereum (ETH) plunged nearly 10% on Monday, threatening large DeFi loans backed by ETH as collateral.A $130 million ETH-backed loan on Sky (formerly Maker) is at high risk of liquidation, despite the borrower adding 2,000 ETH and reducing debt to prevent forced sell-offs.$336 million in DeFi loans are within a 20% price range of liquidation, potentially intensifying downward pressure on ETH.DeFi Liquidations Loom as ETH Dips Below Critical LevelsEthereum’s sharp decline to $1,820 on Monday has rattled DeFi markets, with a major $74 million DAI loan backed by 65,680 ETH now at risk of liquidation.The borrower attempted to stabilize their position by depositing 2,000 ETH (~$4M) and later converting $1.6M USDT to DAI to reduce outstanding debt.Despite these efforts, the loan’s liquidation price stands at $1,836, keeping it dangerously close to forced liquidation as ETH hovers around $1,870.Wider DeFi Market at Risk of a Liquidation CascadeAccording to DefiLlama, additional ETH-backed loans face liquidation risks at key price levels:$13.6M in loans could be liquidated at $1,857 ETH.$117M in loans could be forced to sell at $1,780 ETH.A 20% ETH price drop could trigger $366M in total liquidations, adding severe downward pressure on ETH’s price.When DeFi liquidations occur, the protocol sells the collateralized ETH on the open market, which can intensify selling pressure and accelerate the decline, according to CoinDesk. 

Virtual shows signs of stabilization after a volatile period, with increasing volume and technical indicators hinting at a breakout. source: https://ambcrypto.com/virtual-enters-consolidation-phase-assessing-recovery-potential/

全球金融市场剧烈震荡。美国股市因特朗普关税政策引发恐慌性抛售，市值蒸发四万亿美元，衰退阴云笼罩。同时，加密货币市场也未能幸免，比特币、以太坊等主流币全线暴跌。

2025 年加密货币是否还有牛市？尽管有许多积极的发展，为什么我仍如此看跌？

如果你是一个长期投资者，那么比特币中唯一重要的问题是：比特币会成为像黄金一样具有地缘政治重要性的全球宏观资产吗？

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打造一个强大的美国是我必须要做的，我无暇顾及股市的感受。

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本文将以OCC政策为核心，深度剖析其对加密行业的影响，并结合当前市场情绪与比特币交易数据的变化，探索这一事件的多重意义。

如果技术和运维基本面同样没啥卵用的话，那就仅给相信的人增强一点信心吧！

价值和价格的波动，利益和分配的博弈，依然会在每个周期内相互运动，构成散户的血泪史。