On February 11, Grayscale released a new study indicating that Bitcoin's longstanding narrative as 'digital gold' is under scrutiny. According to BlockBeats, recent price movements suggest Bitcoin is behaving more like a high-risk growth asset rather than a traditional safe haven.
Zach Pandl, the report's author, stated on Tuesday that despite Grayscale's view of Bitcoin as a long-term store of value due to its fixed supply and independence from central banks, recent market performance points in a different direction.
Pandl noted that Bitcoin's short-term price movements have not closely aligned with gold or other precious metals, highlighting the historic price surges in gold and silver. The analysis found a strong correlation between Bitcoin and software stocks, particularly since early 2024. This sector is currently facing significant selling pressure due to market concerns that artificial intelligence may disrupt or replace many software services.
The report suggests that Bitcoin's increased sensitivity to stocks and growth assets reflects its deeper integration into traditional financial markets, partly driven by institutional involvement, ETF activities, and changes in macroeconomic risk sentiment.
Grayscale believes that Bitcoin's recent failure to fulfill its safe haven narrative should not be seen as a setback but rather as part of the asset's ongoing evolution. Pandl expressed that expecting Bitcoin to replace gold as a monetary asset in such a short time frame is unrealistic. "Gold has been a monetary asset for thousands of years and was a pillar of the international monetary system until the early 1970s," he wrote. Although Bitcoin has not achieved a similar status, it may gradually evolve in this direction as artificial intelligence, autonomous agents, and tokenized financial markets drive the global economy towards increased digitization.