USDT is currently experiencing extreme liquidity pressure, similar to the market bottom period in 2022. According to ChainCatcher, CryptoQuant's analysis on the X platform highlights that the net inflow of stablecoins into exchanges has decreased significantly from a peak of $616 million in November 2025 to $27 million, indicating a weakening marginal buying force and a contraction of deployable liquidity in the crypto market.
Additionally, prediction market data reveals that traders are increasingly betting on further declines in Bitcoin's value. On the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket, the probability of Bitcoin falling below $55,000 has risen to 72%, with related contracts accumulating a trading volume of $1.2 billion. Furthermore, the probabilities of Bitcoin dropping below $50,000 and $45,000 stand at 67% and 47%, respectively, with corresponding trading volumes of approximately $170,000 and $1.4 billion.