Evercore ISI Warns of Economic Impact from Oil Price Surge

Evercore ISI has highlighted the economic challenges posed by rising oil prices amid the global economy's adaptation to artificial intelligence's impact on the labor market and potential deflationary pressures. According to Jin10, the firm suggests that if crude oil prices reach between $100 and $120 per barrel, the resulting price shock could significantly elevate inflation expectations. While previous supply surpluses may prevent immediate supply constraints, a prolonged closure of the Hormuz Strait could lead to both supply restrictions and price volatility. U.S. benchmark crude futures have surged by 7%, reaching approximately $72 per barrel, while Brent crude futures, a global price indicator, have soared by 8%, hitting around $79 per barrel.