The state of Utah is poised to prohibit prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, intensifying a conflict between state regulators and federal authorities over industry regulation. According to Cointelegraph, the Utah House passed the HB243 (Gambling Revisions) bill on February 10, and it cleared the Senate on February 27, now awaiting the governor's approval. The bill categorizes 'proposition betting' as gambling, targeting wagers on individual events within a game rather than the game's final outcome. The legislation aims to prevent companies from offering sports-related prediction or prop betting in Utah, even if they present themselves as prediction markets instead of sportsbooks.
Governor Spencer Cox has expressed his intention to sign the bill, as reported by the Associated Press. He criticized the platforms, stating, 'We are putting a casino in the pocket of every single American, and they are targeting especially young people. It is really awful what they are doing, and we are going to make sure this doesn’t happen in our state.'
In response, Kalshi filed a lawsuit against Utah in February, seeking a federal court's intervention to prevent the state from enforcing its gambling restrictions on the platform. Kalshi contends that its event contracts are federally regulated derivatives, not gambling, and argues that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has exclusive jurisdiction over these markets under the Commodity Exchange Act, thus prohibiting states like Utah from banning them. On Wednesday, Kalshi also initiated legal action against Iowa, citing the risk of imminent enforcement actions. This follows an Ohio federal judge's decision on Monday to deny Kalshi's request to prevent state regulators from applying gambling laws to its sports event contracts.
The CFTC has maintained its stance on having regulatory authority over prediction markets. Chairman Michael Selig recently stated, 'To those who seek to challenge our authority in this space, let me be clear, we will see you in court.' Speaking at an industry conference in Florida, Selig highlighted the potential of prediction markets as tools for forecasting future events, describing them as 'truth machines' that can provide transparent and accountable signals, potentially more reliable than traditional opinion polls.