The ongoing geopolitical tensions and sustained high energy prices could significantly increase the downside risks to global economic growth, according to Tang Yuxuan, Head of Asia Rates and FX Strategy at JPMorgan Private Bank. According to Ming Pao, this situation may shift market focus from "inflation pricing" to "recession risk," potentially highlighting gold's traditional role as a safe-haven and hedging asset.
Tang further stated that JPMorgan continues to view gold as an effective portfolio diversification tool, given its low correlation with stocks and bonds. The bank maintains its year-end gold price outlook between $6,000 and $6,300 per ounce. If the geopolitical conflict does not trigger sustained safe-haven sentiment and a strong U.S. dollar, investors who previously felt they "missed the rally" might see the current pullback as an opportunity to gradually enter the market.