A significant transaction has been observed in the Polymarket prediction event regarding whether the United States will invade Iran by 2027. According to Odaily, an account with nearly $1 million in profits purchased $370,000 worth of shares predicting that the U.S. will invade Iran before 2027, with an average opening price of 72 cents.
The settlement rules for this prediction event state that if the U.S. launches a military offensive aimed at controlling any part of Iran by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2026, the market will resolve as 'Yes.' Otherwise, it will resolve as 'No.'
Last night, U.S. President Donald Trump stated, 'We have completely destroyed the Iranian military, and they stand no chance. They never did. They know it themselves and have told me so over the phone.'