According to CoinDesk, recent economic data and profit-taking activities have impacted an early rally in Bitcoin (BTC), but investor behavior suggests that current price levels might offer a favorable entry point into the BTC market. Onchain data reveals that Bitcoin's Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) has risen to 0.987 as of Friday, indicating that investors holding Bitcoin for less than six months are selling at a loss. Historically, such scenarios have often preceded price recoveries, suggesting a potential buying opportunity.
Additional cycle indicators, including Market Value to Realized Value and the Puell Multiple, alongside a short-term investor ratio of 60%, suggest that the market has not yet reached its peak. This week's correction does not appear to mark the end of the bullish cycle, according to CryptoQuant contributing analyst Mac_D. "As short-term investors experience more pain, it often presents better opportunities for accumulation," Mac_D noted in a Thursday post. "If there is further decline from the current price, smart investors will likely accumulate the coins sold cheaply by short-term investors. Therefore, selling coins at this juncture might prove to be a very unwise decision."
SOPR measures the profit or loss of spent Bitcoin outputs by comparing the value of coins when they were last moved to their value when they are spent again. The short-term SOPR focuses on coins moved within a relatively short timeframe (less than 155 days) and can indicate market sentiment, where a value less than 1 might suggest capitulation or a market bottom, potentially signaling a good time to buy. MVRV compares Bitcoin's total market cap (market value) to the "realized cap," which values each Bitcoin at the price at which it last moved. It is used to gauge whether Bitcoin is overbought or oversold, helping to predict potential market tops or bottoms.
BTC approached $95,000 in European morning hours on Friday after a decline in U.S. hours sent it near $90,000 late Thursday, down 10% from a weekly high above $120,000. Fresh economic data led to a surge in U.S. treasury yields on Thursday, causing a fall in equities and a concurrent drop in risk assets such as Bitcoin. The latest Institute for Supply Management (ISM) report on U.S. service providers was stronger than anticipated, with the prices-paid measure reaching its highest point since early 2023. Traders are closely monitoring the release of U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP) later Friday before making further positioning decisions. Strong NFP numbers indicate a robust economy, hinting at possible interest rate hikes, which tend to negatively impact risk assets such as Bitcoin.