Interest Rate Cuts Pose Challenges for Circle's Financial Stability

According to PANews, Dragonfly investor Omar recently highlighted the potential negative impact of interest rate cuts on companies sensitive to such changes, like Circle. A reduction of 100 basis points could lead to a $618 million decrease in Circle's total revenue, a 23% drop, and a $303 million decline in gross profit, representing a 30% reduction. Additionally, the profit margin could fall by 3.3 percentage points. This scenario would require Circle's stock, currently trading at 42 times EV/rr gross profit, to rise to 60.4 times, a 50% premium. To counteract these effects, the supply of USDC would need to increase by $28 billion, or 44% of the current $64 billion, to maintain neutrality. Omar noted that interest rate cuts are inevitable, which explains Circle's recent $1.5 billion stock sale and its urgency to launch products like CPN and Circle Chain to monetize transaction flows.