作者：Ciaran Lyons，CoinTelegraph；编译：陶朱，金色财经
尽管比特币本周创下历史新高，但并没有出现任何“过热”的迹象，一些分析师指出，基本面表明比特币可能会进一步上涨。
Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 在 11 月 10 日的一份报告中表示：“从基本面来看，市场看起来并没有过热。”
加密货币分析公司Nansen的分析师Aurelie Barthere也有类似的看法。Barthere在11月7日的一份市场报告中表示：“比特币突破历史新高，交易量巨大，这是选举后持续积极势头的明确信号。”
Barthere补充说，在11月5日唐纳德·特朗普赢得美国总统大选后，交易员们一直在急于“重新冒险，这反映在最近加密货币的上涨走势中”。
Thorn 指出，虽然未来的比特币未平仓合约（OI）——追踪期权和期货等未结算比特币衍生品合约总数的指标——已“小幅推高至年度新高，但融资利率基本保持不变”。
截至11月8日，比特币未平仓合约为466亿美元。来源:CoinGlass
大量的比特币 OI 有时会引起市场参与者对比特币波动性增加的担忧
尽管如此，积极的融资利率表明，交易员对比特币的价格持乐观态度，买家愿意向卖家支付费用以持有头寸。
此前有报道称，11月6日，比特币OI达到454亿美元，比11月5日增长了13.3%。
根据CoinGlass的数据，在本文发布时，比特币在全球最大的加密货币交易所币安（Binance）的融资率为0.0100%。
Galaxy 的 Thorn 预计，比特币和其他加密货币的交易“在未来 12-18 个月内将大幅高于今天的历史高点”。
从技术分析的角度来看，交易员似乎预计比特币将上涨至 78,000 美元至 85,000 美元的区间。
根据 TradingView 的数据，截至发稿时，比特币交易价格为 75,776 美元。
加密货币交易员马修·海兰德（Matthew Hyland）在11月7日的一篇文章中表示，比特币正在“巩固”其之前的历史高点73,679美元，并“希望继续”。
与此同时，美联储进一步降息 25 个基点。 自美联储 9 月首次降息以来，市场参与者基本上就预料到了这一事件。
降息对于加密资产来说是利多的，因为债券和定期存款等传统资产对投资者来说变得不那么有利可图。
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