作者：Biraajmaan Tamuly，CoinTelegraph；编译：邓通，金色财经
比特币短期持有者重新获利，增加了上涨至 100,000 美元的机会。
自 2 月份以来，长期持有者增加了 363,000 个 BTC，4 月份又有新买家注入资金。
比特币抛售压力风险存在于 97,000 美元，此时可出售 392,000 BTC。
4 月 22 日，BTC 飙升至 91,700 美元以上，使其价值高于短期实现价格或成本基础。这意味着大多数短期持有者（STH）目前已恢复盈利。
STH 在未实现损失后恢复盈利，预示着看涨前景，为潜在的 100,000 美元重新测试铺平了道路。
比特币短期链上成本基础带。来源：Glassnode
从历史上看，在股市上涨的早期阶段，获利的 STH 通过保持坚挺并吸引新投资者来提供上涨动力。比特币的供应图显示，4 月份首次购买者“活动强劲”，表明新的资本以更高的价格注入市场。
长期持有者（持有时间超过 155 天）自 2 月份以来增加了 363,000 个 BTC，而比特币鲸鱼已吸收了年度发行量的 300%。
尽管本周价格出现突破，但比特币研究员 Axel Adler Jr. 指出，最后的强阻力位仍然在 96,100 美元。在一篇 X 帖子中，该分析师表示，
“在 96,000 美元的水平上，持有代币 3-6 个月的群体将面临最后的阻力，之后下一个目标是 100,000 美元。”
比特币实现价格分析。资料来源：X.com
根据比特币的成本基础分布数据，投资者持有约 392,000 BTC，平均成本基础为 97,000 美元，形成潜在的阻力区。这种集中度表明许多投资者可能会以盈亏平衡价出售，从而可能阻碍比特币的上涨势头。
比特币成本基础分布图。资料来源：X.com
然而，匿名交易员 Ezy Bitcoin 强调，比特币在威科夫重新积累阶段的价格走势“非常出色”。图表显示持续走强，有三个价格目标：131,500 美元（目标 1）、144,900 美元（目标 2）和 166,700 美元（目标 3）。
这种威科夫模式表明大型参与者可能会进行积累，预示着比特币将呈现上升趋势，因为市场正在吸收供应并为上升趋势做准备。
Ezy Bitcoin 的比特币威科夫模式分析。资料来源：X.com
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