作者：Martin Young，CoinTelegraph；编译：陶朱，金色财经
OpenAI 首席执行官 Sam Altman 表示，使用任何特定级别的人工智能的成本每年都会下降约 10 倍，并可能导致商品价格大幅下降。
OpenAI 首席执行官 Sam Altman 在 2 月 9 日关于人工智能经济学的博客文章中表示：“使用特定级别的人工智能的成本每 12 个月下降约 10 倍，价格下降会带来更多的使用。”
Altman 提到，从 2023 年初该公司的 GPT-4 模型到 2024 年中期的 GPT-4o，成本下降了约 150 倍。
他说，这比摩尔定律快得多，摩尔定律指的是集成电路中晶体管的数量大约每两年翻一番，从而提高处理能力、效率并降低电子设备的成本。
“在某些方面，人工智能在经济上可能就像晶体管一样——一项具有良好扩展性并渗透到经济几乎每个角落的重大科学发现，”他说。
Altman 预测，许多商品的价格最终将大幅下降，并补充道：“目前，智力成本和能源成本制约着很多东西。”然而，奢侈品和一些固有有限资源（如土地）的价格“可能会上涨得更快”，他说。
根据摩尔定律，晶体管的演变。资料来源：ResearchGate
Altman 表示，他愿意尝试各种方式，让 AI 惠及全球所有人，比如提供“计算预算”。
“我们愿意接受一些听起来很奇怪的想法，比如提供一些‘计算预算’，让地球上的每个人都能使用大量 AI，但我们也看到，只要坚持不懈地将智能成本降到最低，就能产生预期的效果。”
Altman 总结道，不断降低 AI 成本有助于实现 AI 功能的民主化，目标是到 2035 年，任何人都能获得与 2025 年每个人相当的智力。
“每个人都应该能够利用无限的天才来指导他们所能想象的一切。”
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