Bitcoin Basis Returns to Neutral Range as Premium Narrows

Bitcoin's basis, measured by the 7-day simple moving average, has returned to a neutral range as the premium between spot and futures prices has significantly narrowed. According to ChainCatcher, this shift indicates a weakening demand for establishing long positions through derivatives, suggesting that the market is no longer pricing in aggressive risk appetite scenarios. Typically, this scenario implies a decline in risk appetite, the beginning of a deleveraging process, and investors adopting a wait-and-see approach. Analyst Axel Adler Jr notes that the derivatives market is currently unable to continue driving prices upward. For bulls to regain momentum, stronger support from spot buying is necessary.