Fed Meeting to Be Influenced by Middle East Conflict and Rising Oil Prices, Analyst Says

Aptus Capital Advisors' Head of Fixed Income, John Tiner, has indicated that the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting will likely be influenced by the ongoing Middle East conflict and the surge in oil prices. According to Jin10, while a rate cut is not currently on the table, the market will focus on the dot plot, the divergence among Federal Reserve officials relative to the median forecast, and any hints from Chair Jerome Powell's press conference regarding the potential disregard of price increases caused by commodity supply shocks. Following the spike in oil prices, the market has already dismissed the two rate cuts that were priced in earlier this year. However, if the conflict ends swiftly, these rate cut expectations could be quickly repriced.