PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that the probability of OpenAI’s Astra being released by September 11 rose to 86%, up 41% over the past 24 hours. According to Odaily, the probability of a release by September 15 rose to 91%, up 29% over the past 24 hours.
The event will settle as “Yes” if OpenAI publicly releases Astra by the specified date, or if an official or credible media report confirms that a product released under another name is the same model previously announced as Astra. It will settle as “No” otherwise. The model must be made available to the public, including through public testing or an open waitlist; closed testing and private access do not count.