Crypto economist Timothy Peterson's latest analysis points out that Bitcoin still has structural upside potential during the current bear market correction: 50% of the past 24 months have recorded positive returns (according to CoinGlass data, positive return months in 2025 include January, April, May, June, July, and September). This indicator suggests a high probability of a positive return inflection point in any 24-month cycle. Peterson extrapolates that there is an 88% probability that Bitcoin will be higher than its current level in the next 10 months (until December 2026). He emphasizes that this statistical model suggests the market may be approaching a turning point, rather than continuing its downward trend. Currently, Bitcoin is priced at approximately $68,173, down nearly 25% from its year-to-date high, erasing most of the gains following the 2024-2025 US election; the Crypto Fear & Greed Index has fallen to "Extreme Fear" 9 points, and social media Bitcoin prediction activity is drying up (Santiment data), indicating a neutral sentiment. (Cointelegraph)