Cryptocurrency prediction markets have assigned relatively low odds of Bitcoin (BTC) reclaiming the $100,000 level as the leading digital asset continues to suffer losses. In this regard, the latest contracts from Kalshi indicate that the probability of Bitcoin crossing $100,000 before March 2026 sits below 1%, reflecting minimal confidence in a rapid breakout, according to data retrieved on February 23. The odds rise modestly to 4% for a move before April and 10% before May, suggesting traders see limited upside momentum through the second quarter. Additionally, expectations improve slightly into mid-year, with a 14% chance priced in for a break above $100,000 before June and 17% before July
source: https://finbold.com/crypto-market-sets-odds-of-bitcoin-reclaiming-100000/