According to a Forbes article, Trump recently warned that US military action against Iran could last more than five weeks, stating that "the real large-scale action hasn't started yet, but the big one is coming soon." The market believes that a prolonged Middle East conflict could drive up fiscal spending and increase the probability of the Federal Reserve easing monetary policy or even restarting large-scale liquidity injections, potentially benefiting cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Some aggressive forecasters predict Bitcoin could reach $200,000-$500,000 within the year. Furthermore, a potential financial crisis driven by artificial intelligence could trigger a more severe shock than the 2008 financial crisis, also potentially pushing Bitcoin to new all-time highs. Analysts point out that geopolitical risks, expectations of fiscal expansion, and shifts in monetary policy are becoming important macroeconomic variables for the current market's bets on Bitcoin's upward movement.