The International Energy Agency (IEA) has announced its largest-ever release of oil reserves, indicating that the energy market anticipates a prolonged conflict involving Iran. According to Jin10, CNBC reported that Andy Lipow, President of Lipow Oil Associates, noted that the IEA's action is interpreted by some market participants as a sign that the conflict could last for several weeks. Saul Kavonic, an energy analyst at MST Marquee, emphasized that the scale of the release highlights the severe risk of oil shortages, suggesting that the IEA does not expect a swift resolution to the conflict.
Bob McNally, President of Rapidan Energy Group, pointed out that traders are aware that the reserve release can only compensate for a small portion of the shortages caused by the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. He added that unless a ceasefire is achieved or Iran's military capabilities are reduced, allowing for the resumption of tanker transport, oil prices are likely to continue rising.