Polymarket's trading volume on whether a ceasefire will be reached between Russia and Ukraine by the end of March continues to increase, with the probability of a "yes" outcome falling to 2%.

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, in the prediction event of whether Russia and Ukraine will reach a ceasefire by March 31, 2026, the probability of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before the end of March has dropped to 2%. The market's 24-hour trading volume is approximately $355,000, with a total trading volume of $24.726 million. The probability of this event had previously risen, but has been declining this month, while trading volume has continued to increase. Based on current market pricing, mainstream traders still consider a short-term ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine a very low-probability event. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing them in.