Analysts predict that with the Fed's interest rate decision approaching, Bitcoin may face fluctuations between $68,000 and $80,000.

Adam, a macro researcher at Greeks.live, posted on the X platform that the Fed's interest rate decision for this month will be announced at 2 AM this Thursday. Currently, the futures market indicates a 99% probability of no change, while the market currently believes there's a 97% probability of no change at next month's meeting. The Fed's impact on the market in the past two months has likely been relatively limited. Bitcoin is currently fluctuating around $74,000, with the Greed Index at neutral: 1. Hawkish signals: If the dot plot shows only one or even zero rate cuts in 2026, market expectations will decline, liquidity will tighten, and BTC will highly likely retest the $68,000 support level. 2. Dovish surprises: If Powell mentions "controllable inflation" or "focus on the labor market," improved liquidity expectations will directly impact the $800,000 mark. 3. X variable: Kevin Warsh, Trump's nominee for the new chairman, has more unpredictable policy preferences than Powell. The market's biggest fear is a "policy vacuum" or a "hawkish reshuffle." Ahead of the April meeting, institutional funds may choose to sell off their holdings to avoid risk, causing altcoins to experience sharp fluctuations.