According to Odaily Seer, an account on Polymarket with a profit exceeding $1.6 million, SecondWindCapital (0x8c80d213c0cbad777d06ee3f58f6ca4bc03102c3) purchased over $420,000 worth of shares related to the US invasion of Iran this year. The account bought 581,912.1 shares at an average price of $72.3¢, currently showing a floating profit of $12,568. The settlement rules are as follows: if active-duty U.S. military personnel actually enter Iran at any time before the specified date (Eastern Time), the market will be judged as "Yes". Otherwise, the market will be judged as "No". Special operations personnel are eligible, but intelligence personnel are not. U.S. military personnel must actually enter Iranian land territory to be eligible. Entry into Iranian waters or airspace is not eligible. Military contractors, military advisors, or senior U.S. military personnel (and their entourage) entering Iran for diplomatic purposes are ineligible. Odaily Seer continuously focuses on the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.