Polymarket's probability that WTI crude oil will reach $120 in April 2026 has risen to 65%, a 25% increase in the last 24 hours.

Odaily Seer's monitoring shows that Polymarket's prediction that "WTI crude oil will reach $120 in April 2026" saw a short-term surge, rising to 65%, an increase of 10% in one hour and 25% in 24 hours. The event contract rules state that if the final "highest price" of any 1-minute candlestick chart for the most active month of WTI crude oil futures during April 2026 equals or exceeds the listing price, the market will declare it "yes"; otherwise, it will declare it "no." Previously, the rules for the March WTI crude oil price prediction event contract were: if the official settlement price of the current most active month (near-month) of the CME Group crude oil futures contract on any trading day equals or exceeds the listing price as of the last trading day of March 2026, the market will declare it "yes"; otherwise, it will declare it "no." Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.