1. Polymarket's probability of Bitcoin rebounding to $70,000 in April has surged to 91%, up 19% in the last 24 hours; 2. "Brother Machi" has closed all his long positions in BTC and HYPE, achieving an 80% win rate in the past week; 3. US media: US-Iran mediators make a final effort to secure a 45-day ceasefire; 4. Trump angrily criticizes the Supreme Court for making "terrible decisions" on tariffs and birthright citizenship; 5. An address associated with the STO team deposited 16 million STO tokens, worth $2.87 million, into Bitget; 6. Israeli military claims airstrikes on Tehran infrastructure; 7. Polymarket's probability of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 30th has risen to 28%, up 10% in the last 24 hours.