Nuveen Forecasts Central Bank Rate Adjustments in 2026

Nuveen, an asset management company, released its quarterly outlook report on April 9, stating that negative supply shocks are unwelcome for central banks. According to Jin10, the overall outlook remains sufficiently stable for central banks to continue focusing on domestic factors. The firm anticipates that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice in 2026, totaling 50 basis points. However, Nuveen notes that the risk leans towards a slower pace, with the second rate cut potentially delayed until 2027. Additionally, Nuveen predicts that the Bank of Japan may raise rates at least once more in 2026, while the European Central Bank might shift towards rate hikes by the end of the year.