Polymarket has a new article titled "Will other countries leave OPEC in 2026?"

According to Odaily Seer, a new prediction market event has been launched on Polymarket, predicting whether another country will leave OPEC in 2026. The current probability of "yes" is 36%. The event's rules state that if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal by 11:59 PM GMT on December 31, 2026, the market will declare it "yes"; otherwise, it will declare it "no." Informal statements, anonymous sources, or leaked information are invalid. The market's primary decision-making basis is official information from the relevant government, but it also considers consensus from other credible reports. The UAE previously announced its withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+ on May 1st. As a long-time OPEC member, the UAE's unexpected withdrawal could plunge the organization into chaos and weaken its influence. Analysts believe that the UAE's withdrawal from OPEC could be a major victory for Trump, who has accused the organization of "blackmailing the rest of the world" by driving up oil prices. Odaily Seer continues to monitor prediction markets, anticipating changes before they are priced in.