Predict.fun has a new question: "When will Polymarket launch its official token?" The probability of a launch before June 30th is currently estimated at 9%.

The prediction market Predict.fun has launched a new prediction event, "When will Polymarket launch its official token?", with a current trading volume of $546,800. The probabilities of Polymarket launching its official token before June 30, 2027 are tentatively reported as follows: 88%; 77%; 55%; 39%; and 9% respectively. The settlement rules are as follows: if Polymarket officially launches its official token before the date indicated in the title (11:59 PM Eastern Time), the market will mark it as "Yes". Otherwise, it will mark it as "No". Even if a Polymarket token initially lacks utility and isn't explicitly labeled a "governance" token, it's acceptable as long as it's advertised and presented as the official token of a Polymarket product. The token must be publicly and actively transferable and tradable. Simply issuing an announcement is insufficient. Tokens available only for collection are also unacceptable. ERC-1155 or ERC-20 tokens used to represent CTF shares or other user positions in the in-product market, as well as any USD-pegged collateralized tokens, are not eligible for settlement. Sources must be official Polymarket statements (including blog posts, social media channels, or documentation). Trusted third-party reports may also be consulted if necessary. Previously, Mustafa (@mustafap0ly), a member of the Polymarket team, hinted in a community interaction today that progress regarding the POLY token may be imminent.