Greeks.live macro researcher Adam released this week’s market outlook on the X platform (1/29-2/4): This week is a macro week, and many macroeconomic data centered on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision will be released. However, the overall expectations are consistent, and the correlation between macro data and the crypto market has weakened. Currently, the main term IV is low, and the fluctuations are not expected to be large. The impact of BTC spot ETF has ended, the impact of Grayscale’s selling pressure on the market has also significantly weakened, and investors are looking for the next hot spot.
1/31 Wednesday*
-U.S. January ADP employment numbers
-The Bank of Japan released a summary of the opinions of the review committee of the March monetary policy meeting
2/1 Thursday***
- Federal Reserve interest rate decision - Bank of England interest rate decision - Number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week
2/2 Friday**
-U.S. unemployment rate in January -U.S. non-farm payrolls in January
-The final value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index in the United States in January
In addition, the volatility brought to the market by the BTC spot ETF has subsided, and the main term option IV is at extremely low levels, currently below 50% for the full term, and the price/performance ratio of buying now is very high. The market is currently in a post-panic rebound, and buying on dips has a high short-term bullish winning rate.
In terms of the crypto interest rate market, as the market returns to calm, leverage levels have quietly begun to rise. The interest rate market has rebounded from low levels, and some high-interest orders have begun to appear recently.