The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 89.7%.

According to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 89.7%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 10.3%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by September is 35.9%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 57.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 6.2%. (Jinshi P)