IMF Chief Economist Gulan Shah said the Federal Reserve's upcoming rate cuts are "consistent" with the IMF's recommendations. "The message from Fed Chairman Powell today is very consistent with what we are advocating," Gulan Shah said on the sidelines of the Jackson Hole conference. "Inflation has been improving and the labor market has shown signs of cooling. If the labor market is no longer fueling inflationary pressures, then you might be able to ease a little bit on the cooling of aggregate demand and get the policy rate back to a level closer to neutral." Gulan Shah said the United States should not be complacent about inflation having disappeared, noting that service prices are still rising and the Fed must adjust the pace and magnitude of rate cuts based on upcoming economic data. "There are still some upside risks to inflation." Gulan Shah said that despite strong U.S. economic growth, the U.S. job market is clearly cooling as well. He does not think the United States is about to enter a recession, and the probability of a soft landing has increased, which remains the main forecast of the IMF. (Jin Shi)