Bitwise Strategy Director: Approval of BlackRock Bitcoin Spot ETF Options Will Cause Bitcoin to Rise Explosively

Jeff Park, head of strategy at Bitwise Alpha, wrote on the X platform that "SEC approval of BlackRock's Bitcoin spot ETF options trading" will lead to an explosive rise in Bitcoin. Jeff Park believes that the market is about to witness the most incredible rise in "volatility" in financial history, which should be more fully explained. The contributing factors include several characteristics of Bitcoin, the nature of the regulated options market, and the powerful combination of the two. He believes that "SEC approval of BlackRock's Bitcoin spot ETF options trading" marks the biggest progress that the cryptocurrency market may have made. For the first time, the notional value of Bitcoin will be "partially banked" through ETF options. Although the limited non-custodial supply of Bitcoin is its greatest advantage, it is also a drag that limits the ability to create synthetic leverage. Now, Bitcoin will have a regulated market for the first time, and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission will protect clearing members from peer risk. This means that Bitcoin's synthetic notional exposure can grow exponentially. In addition, Bitcoin also has unique volatility characteristics. When the spot price rises, the volatility also rises, which means that delta increases faster. When traders who short gamma hedge (gamma squeezes, what happens to Bitcoin is explosively recursive. Short traders are forced to keep buying at higher prices, and more buying leads to more upside). A negative vanna gamma squeeze would send the price of Bitcoin skyrocketing. In summary, the Bitcoin ETF options market is the first time the financial world has seen regulated leverage on a truly supply-constrained perpetual commodity. Things can get crazy, so crazy that regulated markets may be forced to shut down. But what is extraordinary about Bitcoin is that there will always be a parallel, decentralized market that cannot be shut down, unlike stocks.