Greeks.live macro researcher Adam released a list of this week’s major events on X (12/23-12/29):
This Wednesday is Christmas, and major exchanges in Europe and the United States are closed. Crypto funds usually show outflows this week. Currently, ETFs are the main source of external funds for the crypto market. The pressure of capital outflows on the crypto market has increased significantly compared with previous years, and the market has strong risk aversion.
Big news this week:
MicroStrategy expected to join Nasdaq 100 on Monday 12/23
12/24 On Tuesday, the Bank of Canada released the minutes of its December monetary policy meeting (02:30); the Reserve Bank of Australia released the minutes of its December monetary policy meeting (08:30)
12/26 Thursday, the number of people filing for unemployment benefits in the United States this week (21:30)
12/27 On Friday, the Bank of Japan announced the summary of the opinions of the review committee of the December monetary policy meeting (07:50) Crypto market outlook:
Bitcoin fell below US$100,000, and Ethereum fell below US$3,300. There has been no major correction in this bull market. Funds are now tight during the Christmas holidays. It is not ruled out that there will be a deleveraging before Trump takes office. The market is risk averse. Strong emotions.
Nearly US$12 billion in options have expired in the options market, accounting for more than 40% of the current total positions. Large investors and market makers are actively adjusting their positions. There is little expected Christmas volatility this week, and the market is more betting on what will happen before and after Trump takes office at the end of January.
In terms of the crypto rate market, the Bitfinex rate market has been relatively calm recently.