The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January is 83.9%.

According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 16.1%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 83.9%. By March next year, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 45.4%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 47.7%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 6.9%.